森林衰退は樹種ごとに異なる脆弱性経路を反映(Forest Dieback Reflects Species-Specific Vulnerability Pathways)

2026-05-19 中国科学院(CAS)

2022~2023年に中国・雲南省で発生した8か月に及ぶ極端干ばつを対象に、中国科学院西双版納熱帯植物園(XTBG)の研究チームが、2種の優占マツ林の立ち枯れ要因を解析した。研究では、ドローン観測、衛星画像、環境データを組み合わせ、雲南松(Pinus yunnanensis)と思茅松(Pinus kesiya var. langbianensis)の樹冠枯死や回復能力を比較した。その結果、両種とも干ばつで水分指数(NDWI)が急低下したが、回復過程には大きな差がみられた。雲南松は回復不能な深刻被害を受けた一方、思茅松は部分的ながら回復傾向を示した。さらに、雲南松では樹齢、樹高、土壌カリウム量など林分特性が主因となり、高齢林ほど脆弱だった。対して思茅松では斜面方位や傾斜など地形条件が強く影響し、日射量が多い南向き斜面で被害が集中した。研究は、森林衰退が一様ではなく、樹種ごとの生理特性と局所環境の相互作用で決まることを示し、樹種別・立地別の適応策やUAV・衛星を活用した高精度予測の必要性を提起した。

森林衰退は樹種ごとに異なる脆弱性経路を反映(Forest Dieback Reflects Species-Specific Vulnerability Pathways)
Forest of Pinus kesiya var. langbianensis (Simao pine) after drought. (Image by GAO Daoxiong)

<関連情報>

中国南西部における2種のマツの干ばつによる枯死は、植生の水分状態と地形によって左右される Vegetation water status and topography shape drought-induced dieback of two Pinus species in Southwest China

Dao-Xiong Gao, Rao-Qiong Yang, Pei-Li Fu, De-Li Zhai, Ze-Xin Fan
Forest Ecology and Management  Available online: 13 May 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2026.123855

Highlights

  • Dry-season NDWI anomaly is the strongest and most consistent dieback predictor in both pines.
  • P. yunnanensis dieback is driven by soil and stand structural traits.
  • P. kesiya var. langbianensis vulnerability is primarily governed by local topography.
  • Both species face high dieback risks near their climatic range margins.

Abstract

Extreme droughts increasingly trigger forest dieback globally, yet how species-specific physiological strategies interact with local micro-environments to shape landscape-scale mortality patterns remains poorly understood. Here, we integrated unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) surveys from 20 large plots (4 ha each; 10 per species), satellite-derived vegetation indices, and environmental data to investigate a severe 2023 die-off event of Pinus yunnanensis Franch (Yunnan pine) and Pinus kesiya var. langbianensis (A. Chev.) Gaussen ex Bui (Simao pine) in Southwest China. UAV observations revealed moderate but spatially heterogeneous canopy dieback, with rates ranging from 1.05% to 6.47% in P. yunnanensis and from 0.53% to 11.16% in P. kesiya var. langbianensis, predominantly concentrated on south-facing slopes. At the pixel level, satellite-based analyses showed pronounced declines in the normalized difference water index (NDWI) during 2023, accompanied by divergent post-drought trajectories between dieback (upper-quartile) and healthy (zero-dieback) pixels. In P. yunnanensis, dieback pixels exhibited a near-complete collapse in both resistance and resilience, indicating irreversible damage. Conversely, P. kesiya var. langbianensis showed rapid but incomplete recovery, suggesting a persistent drought legacy despite compensatory growth. These contrasting pixel-level responses were governed by distinct constraints: dieback in P. yunnanensis was primarily driven by intrinsic stand characteristics (e.g., age, canopy height) and soil potassium, whereas P. kesiya var. langbianensis was predominantly constrained by topographic conditions, especially slope. Despite these differences, dry-season NDWI anomalies consistently emerged as a robust predictor of dieback hotspots, which were disproportionately located near species distribution margins. Together, our results provide new mechanistic insight into species-specific drought vulnerability and highlight the importance of integrating multi-scale observations to improve predictions of forest dieback under climate change. These findings further suggest that effective adaptation strategies should move beyond generalized vulnerability assessments toward species-specific management interventions.

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