異常気象に備える電力会社向け新ツールを開発 (New tool can help utilities prepare for extreme weather)

2026-08-03 ワシントン州立大学(WSU)

ワシントン州立大学(Washington State University:WSU)の研究チームは、電力会社が異常気象による停電リスクに事前対応できる新たな予測支援ツールを開発した。近年、暴風、豪雨、猛暑、寒波などの極端気象の増加により送配電設備への被害や停電が頻発しており、電力インフラのレジリエンス向上が重要な課題となっている。新ツールは、気象予測データと送電設備、植生、地形などの情報を統合して解析し、設備被害や停電の発生確率を事前に評価する。これにより、電力会社は作業員や資機材を被害が予想される地域へ効率的に配置し、設備補強や迅速な復旧計画を策定できる。従来の経験則に依存した対応に比べ、資源配分の最適化と復旧時間の短縮が期待され、災害時の電力供給の安定性向上に寄与する。また、気候変動に伴い増加する極端気象への適応策として、送配電設備の維持管理や防災計画への活用も見込まれている。

<関連情報>

異常気象事象に対する電力システムのレジリエンス重視の計画 Resilience-Driven Planning of Electric Power Systems Against Extreme Weather Events

Abodh Poudyal, Shishir Lamichhane, Josue Campos do Prado, Anamika Dubey
IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution  Published: 22 May 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1049/gtd2.70330

異常気象に備える電力会社向け新ツールを開発 (New tool can help utilities prepare for extreme weather)

ABSTRACT

With the increasing frequency of natural disasters, operators must prioritize improvements in the existing electric power grid infrastructure to enhance its resilience. Resilience against extreme weather events requires the grid planners to account for high-impact, low-probability (HILP) events during the planning stage. This paper proposes a resilience-driven two-stage stochastic planning model that jointly optimizes proactive generation dispatch, line hardening, line capacity upgrade and distributed generation sizing and siting decisions to minimize both load sheding and its risk for extreme weather scenarios. The risk is modelled using conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), and a representative scenario sampling method is used to alleviate computational complexity without sacrificing solution quality over a wide range of scenarios. The overall framework is tested on a standard IEEE reliability test system to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed approach and also validated using out-of-sample scenarios. Several planning portfolios are presented that can help system planners identify trade-offs between system resilience, planning budget, and risk aversion and prioritize the investments. The results suggest that line hardening is the most effective resilience-enhancing investment under limited budgets, while the combination of line hardening and backup DGs minimizes the risk further as the planning budget increases.

0401発送配変電
ad
ad
Follow
ad
タイトルとURLをコピーしました