「疑い」を持つAIが科学的発見を最適化(An AI capable of doubt can optimize scientific discovery)

2026-09-02 スイス連邦工科大学ローザンヌ校(EPFL)

EPFL(スイス連邦工科大学ローザンヌ校)の研究チームは、大規模言語モデル(LLM)と確率モデルを組み合わせ、科学実験の最適条件を効率的に探索するAI手法「GOLLuM」を開発した。従来のベイズ最適化は、化学反応や材料設計など分野ごとに専門的な記述子を設計する必要があった。これに対しGOLLuMは、LLMが持つ科学知識の表現能力と、ガウス過程による「不確実性」の評価を組み合わせ、過去の実験結果から探索空間そのものを学習・再構成する。23種類のベンチマークで評価した結果、50回の実験で最良5%に入る条件を見つけた割合は36.3%で、従来の手法の29.7%を上回った。また、従来法と同等の性能に到達するための実験数を40%以上削減できた。LLM単独では幻覚や探索範囲外の提案などで失敗率が10~80%に及んだのに対し、不確実性を明示的に扱うGOLLuMは、少ない実験回数で解を探索できることを示した。

<関連情報>

実験的発見のための不確実性調整済み最適化ツールとしての大規模言語モデル Large language models as uncertainty-calibrated optimizers for experimental discovery

Bojana Ranković,Ryan-Rhys Griffiths & Philippe Schwaller
Nature Machin Intelligence  Published:28 August 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1038/s42256-026-01283-z

「疑い」を持つAIが科学的発見を最適化(An AI capable of doubt can optimize scientific discovery)

Abstract

From reaction optimization to molecular design, experimental discovery poses the same expensive question: which candidate to test next under time and resource constraints. Bayesian optimization provides principled answers but depends on domain expertise that rarely transfers. Large language models (LLMs) contain rich scientific knowledge but lack the calibrated uncertainty estimates crucial for high-stakes decisions. Here we show how training language models through Bayesian objectives enables their use as reliable optimizers guided by natural language. Our approach, GOLLuM (Gaussian process Optimized LLMs), teaches LLMs from experimental outcomes under uncertainty, transforming their overconfidence from a fundamental flaw into a precise learning signal. This signal reshapes the LLM embeddings so that experiments with similar outcomes cluster together, revealing structure in the design space. Starting from only ten low-performing experiments, GOLLuM generalizes across 23 tasks in organic synthesis, materials science, process chemistry and molecular design, ranking first on average among all competing methods. It matches traditional Bayesian optimization with over 40% fewer experiments and nearly doubles the discovery of high-performing Buchwald–Hartwig reactions over expert quantum-chemical descriptors and state-of-the-art LLMs (43% versus 24–25%). More broadly, GOLLuM points to a different paradigm for specializing foundation models: not through more data but through richer, uncertainty-guided information.

1603情報システム・データ工学
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