下水の詳細研究により大規模イベントや警察の押収が違法薬物使用に与える影響を解明 (Detailed wastewater study shows how illicit drug use changes due to major public events and police seizures in England)

2026-04-27 インペリアル・カレッジ・ロンドン(ICL)

英インペリアル・カレッジ・ロンドンの研究チームは、下水分析を用いてイングランドにおける違法薬物使用の変動を詳細に調査した。大規模イベント(音楽フェスや祝祭)開催時にはコカインやMDMAなどの使用量が顕著に増加し、地域ごとの消費パターンも明確に変化することが確認された。一方、警察による大規模な薬物押収後には特定薬物の検出量が一時的に減少するが、代替薬物の使用増加が見られるなど、市場の適応性も示された。この研究は、リアルタイムに近い形で地域社会の薬物動向を把握できる下水疫学の有効性を示し、公衆衛生対策や法執行戦略の改善に寄与する可能性を示唆している。

下水の詳細研究により大規模イベントや警察の押収が違法薬物使用に与える影響を解明 (Detailed wastewater study shows how illicit drug use changes due to major public events and police seizures in England)
Water samples were tested for known chemical signatures for 20 substances to piece together a detailed picture of drug use in England over time. Samples were analysed by liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry. (Credit: Imperial College London / Jo Mieszkowski)

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廃水分析によるイングランド全土における違法薬物消費の高時間分解能モニタリング High temporal resolution monitoring of illicit drug consumption across England via wastewater analysis

Helena Rapp-Wright, Keng Tiong Ng, Derryn Grant, William Francis, Margarita White, Dimitris Evangelopoulos, Yuxing Liu, Konstantina Dimakopoulou, …
Addiction  Published:published: 26 April 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1111/add.70398

Abstract

Aim

To monitor community-level consumption of 20 illicit drugs across urban areas of England using wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) surveillance at high temporal resolution.

Design, setting, cases

This study was conducted over a 12-month period in 2022 sampling 24-hour composite wastewater samples at 15 wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) covering catchment population equivalents ranging from ~100 000 to >1 million. Analysis was conducted using rapid liquid chromatography–tandem mass spectrometry methods. The sampled WWTPs collectively covered 21% of the national population.

Measurements

Primary data outcomes were the population-normalised daily loads (PNLs) entering the WWTP, estimated population-normalised consumption (both in mg/1000 people/day) and total mass (g/day) of 20 targeted illicit drugs and total mass in each catchment, quantified using suitable drug target residue markers in 1746 wastewater samples. Covariables included temporal indicators (e.g. public holidays, events) and regional factors. Presence, quantity and correlation of WBE-derived drug use data were used to infer drug use patterns.

Findings

Of the 20 illicit drugs investigated, 18 were detected in at least one sample. Cocaine exhibited the highest average daily PNL (2770 ± 829 mg/1000 people/day), followed by heroin (382 ± 248), ketamine (287 ± 183), amphetamine (272 ± 268), 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA) (80 ± 57) and methamphetamine (60 ± 99) across 2022. When comparing PNLs to Sewage analysis CORe group—Europe (SCORE) and European Drugs Agency WBE data for 109 other WWTPs across Europe from March to May, 2022 cocaine and ketamine PNLs from sites in England were ranked statistically higher [cocaine: Wilcoxon rank-sum test statistic (W) = 971, adjusted P = 0.000115; ketamine: W = 264, adjusted P = 0.0000389]. Importantly, seven English WWTPs recorded higher mean ketamine PNLs than any other European site over the same period in 2022. Temporal spikes in drug consumption aligned with public holidays and major events. A notable decrease in cocaine use coincided with a 3.7-t UK seizure. Strong inter-drug correlations were observed across catchments, particularly for benzoylecgonine/ketamine and benzoylecgonine/cocaethylene. Extrapolation to generate a representative national average consumption estimate is not recommended, as the WWTPs studied were mostly classified as urban areas and found not to be representative of the entire population of England.

Conclusions

Wastewater analysis revealed widespread and temporally variable illicit drug use across England in 2022, with ketamine use exceeding European levels at multiple sites. The findings highlight wastewater-based epidemiology’s capacity to monitor drug use trends and identify community-level impacts of interventions and events.

1103廃棄物管理
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