新疆における早期シーズン綿花マッピングを可能にする新手法を開発(New Method Enables Early-Season Cotton Mapping in Xinjiang)

2026-06-17 中国科学院(CAS)

新疆は中国最大の綿花生産地域であり、綿花の作付け状況を早期に把握することは、栽培管理、灌漑計画、収量予測、農業保険などの分野で重要な意味を持つ。中国科学院(CAS)航空宇宙情報研究所(AIR)と石河子大学の共同研究チームは、綿花の生育状況ではなく農業管理手法に着目し、播種から苗期という極めて早い段階で綿花圃場を識別する新たな手法を開発した。新疆では綿花栽培にプラスチックマルチとフィルム下点滴灌漑が広く用いられており、播種~苗期には10m解像度の衛星画像上で他作物より高いマルチ被覆率を示す特徴がある。研究チームはSentinel-2衛星画像を用いてこの特徴を抽出し、新疆全域の早期綿花分布図を作成した。その結果、収穫の約4~4.5か月前という従来より大幅に早い時期に綿花圃場を識別でき、全体精度84.70%、綿花のF1スコア88.16%を達成した。本手法は従来の生育ステージ依存型手法より迅速な情報提供を可能にし、農業管理や政策立案への活用が期待される。

新疆における早期シーズン綿花マッピングを可能にする新手法を開発(New Method Enables Early-Season Cotton Mapping in Xinjiang)
Early-season maps of cotton in Xinjiang: (a) early-season mapping; (b) in-season mapping; (c) spatial details of cotton maps for six selected regions. (Image by AIR)

<関連情報>

新疆における独自の機械化プラスチックマルチング技術による綿畑の生育時期の早期特定 Advancing the earliest identifiable timing of cotton fields by the unique mechanized plastic-mulching practices in Xinjiang

Rubing Zeng, Changping Huang, Junru Zhou, Qiushuang Yao, Letao Lan, Huihan Wang, Mi Yang, Ze Zhang, Yaokai Liu, Qingxi Tong
Remote Sensing of Environment  Available online: 2 May 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2026.115416

Highlights

  • Cotton field has higher plastic-mulched (PM) fraction than other crops in Xinjiang.
  • An early-season cotton mapping method based on unique PM practices was developed.
  • Earliest Identifiable Timing of cotton in Xinjiang is advanced to mulching stage.
  • The proposed mapping method facilitates time-sensitive agricultural decision-making.

Abstract

As a globally significant cash crop, cotton requires timely monitoring. Early-season mapping of cotton in Xinjiang is critical for applications such as irrigation scheduling and agricultural insurance. Current methods, which largely depend on physiological and phenological cues detectable post-canopy development, fall short of supporting truly early-season demands. To this end, this study proposed a novel mapping approach that advances the Earliest Identifiable Timing (EIT) to the sowing-seedling stage by harnessing differences between cotton and other crops in cultivation practices, specifically the prevalent use of mechanized plastic-mulching technology in Xinjiang. Our analysis of 10 m Sentinel-2 imagery revealed that cotton fields exhibited a significantly higher plastic-mulched (PM) fraction within mixed pixels relative to other crops. Based on this, we constructed a feature set from spectral and textural signatures to capture PM-related differences and trained a random forest classifier for early-season cotton mapping. While this method showed a marginal accuracy decrease compared to in-season phenology-based mapping, it greatly improves timeliness. The proposed method advanced the EIT to the plastic-mulching stage (approximately 4–4.5 months before harvest), with an overall accuracy of 84.70% and a cotton F1-score of 88.16%. By exploiting early cultivation practice signatures, this study facilitated much earlier identification of cotton in Xinjiang, offering valuable information for time-sensitive agricultural decision-making.

1200農業一般
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