2025-06-20 カリフォルニア大学リバーサイド校 (UCR)
Atlantic sea surface temperature trend, 1900-2005 in °C, from the average of six observation datasets. (Kai-Yuan Li/UCR)
＜関連情報＞
- https://news.ucr.edu/articles/2025/06/20/strange-atlantic-cold-spot-traced-ocean-slowdown
- https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-025-02403-0
大西洋重層循環の弱体化が歴史的な北大西洋温暖化の穴を引き起こす Weakened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation causes the historical North Atlantic Warming Hole
Kai-Yuan Li & Wei Liu
Communications Earth Environment Published:28 May 2025
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02403-0
Abstract
Most oceans over the globe have experienced surface warming during the past century, but the subpolar Atlantic is quite otherwise. The sea surface temperature cooling trend to the south of Greenland, known as the North Atlantic Warming Hole, has raised debate over whether it is driven by the slowing of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Here we use observations as a benchmark and climate models as a tool to demonstrate that only models simulating a weakened historical Atlantic overturning can broadly reproduce the observed cooling and freshening in the warming hole region. This, in turn, indicates that the realistic Atlantic overturning slowed between 1900 and 2005, at a rate of −1.01 to −2.97 Sv century−1 (1 Sv = 106 m3 s−1), according to a sea-surface-temperature-based fingerprint index estimate. Particularly, the Atlantic overturning slowdown causes an oceanic heat transport divergence across the subpolar North Atlantic, which, while partially offset by enhanced ocean heat uptake, results in cooling over the warming hole region.
