湿潤熱帯における自然林拡大が主要な炭素吸収源であることを実証(Study: Natural Forest Expansion is a Major Carbon Sink in Moist Tropics)

2026-07-14 中国科学院(CAS)

中国科学院(CAS)精密計測科学技術創新研究院(APM)を中心とする国際研究チームは、これまで十分に評価されていなかった自然林の拡大(Natural Forest Expansion)が、湿潤熱帯地域において二次林を上回る重要な炭素吸収源であることを明らかにし、その成果をNature Geoscienceに発表した。研究では、JRC熱帯湿潤林変化データとNASAのGEDI LiDARバイオマスデータを統合し、1985~2022年の熱帯域における森林再生の空間分布と地上部炭素(AGC)蓄積を解析した。その結果、自然林拡大の面積は二次林より6%広く、炭素蓄積速度も同等で、総炭素吸収量は795±132 Tg Cと二次林(754±105 Tg C)を5.4%上回ることが判明した。一方、森林減少・劣化による炭素排出の相殺効果は限定的であり、気候変動対策では森林破壊や森林劣化の抑制を最優先とすべきであると結論付けた。同時に、自然林拡大は適切な保全・管理の下で大きな気候変動緩和ポテンシャルを持つ新たな炭素吸収源であることを示した。

湿潤熱帯における自然林拡大が主要な炭素吸収源であることを実証(Study: Natural Forest Expansion is a Major Carbon Sink in Moist Tropics)
Modeled region-specific AGC accumulation for naturally regenerating forests. Climatic Regions I and II for the tropical Americas (a), Africa (d) and Asia (g). Modeled AGC accumulation curves for natural forest expansion (b, c), secondary forest (e, f) and degraded forest (h, i) in Regions I and II across the three tropical regions. (Image by APM)

<関連情報>

湿潤熱帯地域では、自然林の拡大は二次林よりも大きな炭素吸収源となる Natural forest expansion is a larger carbon sink than secondary forests in moist tropics

Yihang Zhang,Viola H. A. Heinrich,Clément Bourgoin,Xia Wang,Xiaodong Li,Yun Du & Peter M. Atkinson
Nature Geoscience  Published:04 June 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-026-01984-5

Abstract

Tropical secondary forests grow back naturally after the original forest has been cleared, while degraded forests comprise regrowth within forested land that has experienced partial structural and functional loss. Both represent important carbon sinks. However, natural forest expansion into originally unforested land also occurs, and despite covering 6% more area than secondary forests in the moist tropics, its carbon sink remains unquantified. Here we quantify the above-ground carbon sink and analyse its drivers across natural forest expansion, secondary forest and degraded forest by combining satellite-derived tropical moist forest changes with spaceborne LiDAR-derived biomass. The above-ground carbon accumulation of natural forest expansion is comparable to that of secondary forests, particularly in the Americas, but shows greater sensitivity to climatic and environmental variations. Natural forest expansion sequesters 5.4% more above-ground carbon (795 ± 132 TgC) than secondary forests (754 ± 105 TgC). It offsets an additional 2.4 ± 0.6% of the carbon emissions from deforestation and degradation of old-growth forests, while regrowth in secondary and degraded forests offsets 2.3 ± 0.5% and 13.6 ± 2.1%, respectively. Our results highlight natural forest expansion as an overlooked pan-tropical carbon sink with great mitigation potential, if invested in sustainably, alongside the protection of old-growth and regenerating forests.

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