中国南東部黄土高原における極端干ばつイベントの解明(Researchers Reveal Extreme Drought Events in Southeastern Chinese Loess Plateau)

2026-04-28 中国科学院(CAS)

中国科学院地球環境研究所の研究者らは、中国黄土高原南東部における過去約180年(1844~2023年)の相対湿度(RH)を年輪データから復元した。アブラマツの成長は4月~8月中旬の湿度に強く制約され、この指標に基づく解析で長期的な乾燥化傾向と「高温乾燥・低温湿潤」パターンが確認された。特に1900年前後、1920年代後半、1940~43年、さらに1997~2023年に顕著な干ばつが発生し、近年の干ばつは過去に例のない長期性を示した。一方で社会的被害は比較的小さく、現代の気候適応力向上が示唆された。湿度変動にはアジアモンスーンやエルニーニョなど大規模気候要因が関与し、水資源管理や気候変動対策への重要な知見を提供する。

<関連情報>

1844年以降の年ごとの相対湿度復元により、中国南東部黄土高原で前例のない干ばつ(1997年~2023年)が発生したことが明らかになった Annually resolved relative humidity reconstruction since 1844 CE reveals unprecedented drought (1997–2023 CE) in the southeastern Chinese Loess Plateau

Dan Chen,Qiufang Cai,Yu Liu,Mei Xie,Kebayier Meng,Meng Ren,Qiang Li,Changfeng Sun,Huiming Song & Jun Zhao
Journal of Forestry Research  Published:08 April 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/s11676-026-02046-7

中国南東部黄土高原における極端干ばつイベントの解明(Researchers Reveal Extreme Drought Events in Southeastern Chinese Loess Plateau)

Abstract

Relative humidity (RH) plays a crucial role in maintaining both forest and human health. However, the historical characteristics and drivers of RH in the southeastern Chinese Loess Plateau (SECLP) remain poorly understood. Here, a high-resolution tree-ring-width record from the SECLP reveals that the radial growth of Pinus tabuliformis is limited by RH from April to mid-August (RHc10–23), which coincides with the period from the Chinese solar term Pure Brightness to End of Heat. The 180-year RHc10–23 reconstruction explains 45.40% of instrumental variance (1956–2020 CE) and reveals a long-term drying trend since 1844 CE, especially evident since 1956 CE. Three iconic Northern China droughts—the ~ 1900, late-1920s, and 1940–1943 events—are clearly resolved, together with an unprecedented 1997–2023 drought. Conversely, wet periods occurred during 1850–1890, 1910–1916, and 1951–1966 CE. The reconstruction mirrors broad Chinese Loess Plateau hydroclimatic patterns while retaining local signals. Over the past two centuries, SECLP hydroclimatic variations have been anti-correlated with regional temperature and modulated by the Asian summer monsoon, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation/Atlantic Multidecadal Variability, El Niño-Southern Oscillation, and Indian Ocean Dipole. This study enhances our understanding of regional hydroclimatic evolution, highlights human impacts on natural systems, and provides scientific support for climate change adaptation and water resource management.

1702地球物理及び地球化学
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