ニューヨークからD.C.まで、東海岸の都市は沈没しつつある(Study: From NYC to D.C. and beyond, cities on the East Coast are sinking)

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2024-01-02 バージニア工科大学(VirginiaTech)

◆アメリカの大西洋岸の主要都市が年間最大5ミリメートルの速さで沈降しており、これは地球の海面上昇を上回っていることがバージニア工科大学と米国地質調査所の研究で明らかになった。
◆特にニューヨーク市、ロングアイランド、ボルチモア、バージニアビーチ、ノーフォークなどは急激な沈降が見られ、道路、滑走路、建物基礎、鉄道、パイプラインなどのインフラに影響を与え、海面上昇と組み合わさることで洪水のリスクが高まる可能性がある。研究者は、宇宙からのレーダーサテライトデータを用いて、高精度の地形マップを作成し、東海岸の広範な地域で沈降が進行中であることを明らかにした。

<関連情報>

ゆっくりと、しかし確実に: 米国東海岸における地盤沈下への地域社会とインフラの暴露 Slowly but surely: Exposure of communities and infrastructure to subsidence on the US east coast

Leonard O Ohenhen, Manoochehr Shirzaei, Patrick L Barnard
PNAS Nexus  Published:02 January 2024
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgad426

Population, infrastructure and SLR on the US east coast. A) Population distribution in major cities on the US east coast. The population data are the 2020 population estimate from the US census bureau (https://www.census.gov/geographies/mapping-files/time-series/geo/tiger-data.2010.html). The rectangle indicates extent of the close-up area shown in (B). B) Close-up view of New England showing Infrastructure systems/facilities on the US east coast. The summary table beneath (B) represents statistics for all infrastructure facilities analyzed in this study. Background Images in (A) and (B) are from Google, Earthstar. C) Time series of monthly (dashed line) and annual (solid line) mean sea level for tide gauge stations shown as inverted triangles in (A) (21). The time series have been offset for visual clarity.

Abstract

Coastal communities are vulnerable to multihazards, which are exacerbated by land subsidence. On the US east coast, the high density of population and assets amplifies the region’s exposure to coastal hazards. We utilized measurements of vertical land motion rates obtained from analysis of radar datasets to evaluate the subsidence-hazard exposure to population, assets, and infrastructure systems/facilities along the US east coast. Here, we show that 2,000 to 74,000 km2 land area, 1.2 to 14 million people, 476,000 to 6.3 million properties, and >50% of infrastructures in major cities such as New York, Baltimore, and Norfolk are exposed to subsidence rates between 1 and 2 mm per year. Additionally, our analysis indicates a notable trend: as subsidence rates increase, the extent of area exposed to these hazards correspondingly decreases. Our analysis has far-reaching implications for community and infrastructure resilience planning, emphasizing the need for a targeted approach in transitioning from reactive to proactive hazard mitigation strategies in the era of climate change.

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1702地球物理及び地球化学
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