核廃棄物地下処理の長期的影響を予測する新モデルを開発(Model Predicts Long-Term Effects of Nuclear Waste Underground Disposal Systems)

2025-07-18 マサチューセッツ工科大学(MIT)

MITらの研究チームは、放射性廃棄物の地層処分における長期挙動を予測する新たな計算モデル「CrunchODiTi」を開発。スイスの地下実験データと一致し、セメントと粘土の界面での化学反応や電気的相互作用も精密に再現可能。これにより、地質・人工バリアを組み合わせた処分場の安全性評価が数千年~数万年スケールで可能となり、放射性物質の移動予測精度が大幅に向上した。安全な地層処分政策の科学的裏付けとなる成果。

<関連情報>

放射性核種に対する複雑なバリアシステムのモデルの信頼性構築 Building confidence in models for complex barrier systems for radionuclides

Dauren Sarsenbayev, Christophe Tournassat, Carl I. Steefel, and Haruko M. Wainwright
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences  Published:July 3, 2025
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2511885122

核廃棄物地下処理の長期的影響を予測する新モデルを開発(Model Predicts Long-Term Effects of Nuclear Waste Underground Disposal Systems)

Abstract

The modeling and simulation of the Cement–clay Interaction–Diffusion field (CI-D) experiment at the Mont Terri site in Switzerland presented here demonstrates that it is possible to capture the multiscale physical and chemical features of natural and engineered barrier systems for radionuclides. The simulations are successfully carried out with the newly developed CrunchODiTi high-performance computing software that accounts for multiple continua, including a continuum representing the electrical double layer (EDL) developed along negatively charged clay particles in clay rock. The simulation also accounts for both the complex three-dimensional (3D) geometry, expected as the norm in a geological waste repository, and the anisotropy of the geological formation. In addition, the high resolution of the model makes it possible to include “skin effects” developed at the interface between highly reactive materials, in this case between the high pH cement and the circumneutral but electrostatic Opalinus Clay. The successful history matching with the field experiment demonstrates that the distinct geochemical and physical properties of the cement and the Opalinus Clay in the CI-D experiment can be accounted for. Such analyses are essential for developing a defensible safety case for the underground storage of radioactive waste.

2005放射線防護
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