地球を温暖化させる飛行機雲に関する研究は、航空業界にとって「一石を投じる」ものである(Study on planet-warming contrails “a spanner in the works” for aviation industry)

2024-08-07 インペリアル・カレッジ・ロンドン(ICL)

新しい研究によると、高高度を飛行する最新の商業航空機は、古い機体よりも長時間持続する温暖化を引き起こす飛行機雲(コントレイル)を作り出している。これにより、最新の航空機は古い機体よりも二酸化炭素の排出量が少ないものの、飛行機雲を通じて気候変動により大きく寄与している可能性がある。特に、プライベートジェットが予想以上に多くの飛行機雲を生成していることが判明した。研究は、最新の航空機が燃料効率を高めるために高高度を飛行する一方で、飛行機雲が長く残り、温暖化効果が増大するという複雑な問題を指摘している。

<関連情報>

より燃費の良い航空機から衛星で検出可能な飛行機雲の寿命が長くなる運用上の違い Operational differences lead to longer lifetimes of satellite detectable contrails from more fuel efficient aircraft

Edward Gryspeerdt, Marc E J Stettler, Roger Teoh, Ulrike Burkhardt, Toni Delovski, Oliver G A Driver and David Painemal
Environmental Research Letters  Published: 7 August 2024
DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/ad5b78

地球を温暖化させる飛行機雲に関する研究は、航空業界にとって「一石を投じる」ものである(Study on planet-warming contrails “a spanner in the works” for aviation industry)

Abstract

Clouds produced by aircraft (known as contrails) contribute over half of the positive radiative forcing from aviation, but the size of this warming effect is highly uncertain. Their radiative effect is highly dependent on the microphysical properties and meteorological background state, varying strongly over the contrail lifecycle. In-situ observations have demonstrated an impact of aircraft and fuel type on contrail properties close to the aircraft, but there are few observational constraints at these longer timescales, despite these having a strong impact in high-resolution and global models. This work provides an observational quantification of these contrail controlling factors, matching air traffic data to satellite observations of contrails to isolate the role of the aircraft type in contrail properties and evolution. Investigating over 64 000 cases, a relationship between aircraft type and contrail formation is observed, with more efficient aircraft forming longer-lived satellite-detectable contrails more frequently, which could lead to a larger climate impact. This increase in contrail formation and lifetime is primarily driven by an increase in flight altitude. Business jets are also found to produce longer-lived satellite-detectable contrails despite their lower fuel flow, as they fly at higher altitudes. The increase in satellite-detected contrails behind more efficient aircraft suggests a trade-off between aircraft greenhouse gas emissions and the aviation climate impact through contrail production, due to differences in aircraft operation.

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