EV充電需要管理を支援するCityChargeモデルを開発(Concordia-developed CityCharge model could help cities manage electric vehicle charging demands)

2026-05-14 カナダ・コンコルディア大学

カナダのConcordia University の研究チームは、都市部における電気自動車(EV)充電需要を効率的に管理するためのシミュレーションモデル「CityCharge」を開発した。研究では、EV普及拡大に伴う電力需要集中が、都市インフラや配電網へ与える負荷を解析し、時間帯別需要予測や充電行動パターンを統合したモデルを構築した。CityChargeは、交通流、人口密度、充電ステーション配置、電力供給能力など複数要因を同時に評価でき、ピーク需要抑制や最適な充電設備配置の検討に利用できる。シミュレーションでは、無計画なEV充電拡大は局所的停電リスクや送電負荷増大を招く一方、動的料金設定や分散型充電戦略を導入することで電力需要平準化が可能であることが示された。研究チームは、本モデルが都市計画担当者や電力事業者による持続可能なEVインフラ整備に役立つと説明しており、脱炭素化と都市エネルギー管理の両立に向けた実用的ツールとして期待している。

EV充電需要管理を支援するCityChargeモデルを開発(Concordia-developed CityCharge model could help cities manage electric vehicle charging demands)

<関連情報>

CityCharge:都市部における電気自動車充電需要パターンの高度なモデリング CityCharge: Advanced modeling of urban electric vehicle charging demand patterns

Mohamed Osman, Mohamed Ouf
Energy  Available online: 3 January 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2026.139920

Highlights

  • CityCharge an agent-based tool for simulating urban EV charging demand.
  • Capture individual EV behavior using state of charge, location, and infrastructure data.
  • Compare survey-based modeling approaches for EV charging demand in Montreal.
  • Quantify charging load patterns and identifies potential stress periods and locations.
  • Provide spatial-temporal insights for data-driven electric mobility planning.

Abstract

The increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EV) presents substantial complexities for electricity distribution networks, particularly grid strain from uncoordinated charging during peak demand hours. This paper introduces CityCharge, a simulation tool that models spatial and temporal patterns of urban electric vehicle charging demand. The framework employs a hybrid methodology integrating empirical travel schedules with agent-based modeling to simulate individual charging decisions based on vehicle characteristics, state-of-charge thresholds, location preferences, and behavioral types, alongside infrastructure availability and electricity pricing. CityCharge offers both a generic model using Time Use Survey data for broad applicability and a custom model using detailed travel survey data for localized accuracy, demonstrated through a Montreal case study. Comparative simulations reveal the custom model exhibits 24 % higher afternoon peaks. Scenario analyses of Montreal CMA’s EV charging demand show shifting from home-dominant to workplace-dominant charging increases morning peaks by 72 % while reducing evening peaks by 18 %. Moreover, increasing deployment of Level 2 chargers in homes results in 30 % higher peak demand than Level 1 infrastructure. Regional analysis reveals substantial spatial variation, with central areas experiencing peaks that are 100 % higher than those in suburban regions. CityCharge provides valuable insights for utilities, policymakers, and planners to quantify charging load patterns and identifies potential stress periods/locations, optimize infrastructure deployment, and design demand response strategies supporting sustainable transportation.

0401発送配変電
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