関東地方下の地震の巣は海山の沈み込みが原因だった~首都直下地震の地震像の解明に向けて~

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2025-04-24 東京科学大学

東京科学大学(Science Tokyo)の中島淳一教授らの研究グループは、東京湾北部(千葉県北西部)の深さ60–70 kmに位置する地震の巣が、太平洋プレートと共に沈み込む海山によって引き起こされている可能性を提唱しました。この地域は日本で最も地震活動が活発な場所の一つであり、過去には1894年の明治東京地震(M7.0)など、震度5強以上の地震が複数回発生しています。研究では、2000年から2023年までの地震波データを解析し、地震活動が半径約10 kmの円状構造を示し、沈み込む海山のサイズと一致することを確認しました。また、地震活動の空間パターンが海山の沈み込みによる特徴と矛盾しないことから、海山の沈み込みが地震の巣の原因であると結論づけました。この地震の巣はM7クラスの地震を引き起こす可能性があり、首都直下地震の震源域となるリスクが指摘されています。本研究成果は、プレート境界型地震の発生メカニズムの理解を深めるものであり、科学誌「Tectonophysics」に掲載されました。

関東地方下の地震の巣は海山の沈み込みが原因だった~首都直下地震の地震像の解明に向けて~
図1.関東地方の地震活動(太平洋プレート上面付近の地震)

<関連情報>

東京湾地震の巣: 沈み込む海山への示唆 The Tokyo Bay earthquake nest, Japan: Implications for a subducted seamount

Junichi Nakajima
Tectonophysics  Available online: 5 April 2025
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2025.230728

Highlights

  • I investigated an earthquake nest at depths of 60–70 km beneath the Tokyo metropolitan area.
  • The earthquake nest comprises a much finer internal structure than conventionally considered.
  • Seismogenic behavior is spatially different.
  • Seismogenesis may be explained by a subducted seamount.

Abstract

Many earthquake nests (regions of highly concentrated seismicity isolated from nearby activity) exist beneath the Tokyo metropolitan area in Japan. The largest and most active nest is the Tokyo Bay earthquake nest located at depths of 60–70 km in the northern part of Tokyo Bay. The largest earthquake in the Tokyo Bay earthquake nest was an M6 earthquake over the last ∼20 years. However, it is considered that the 1894 Meiji Tokyo earthquake (M7.0) occurred around the nest. Of note, no studies have explored the Tokyo Bay earthquake nest, and the spatial distribution of earthquakes remains poorly understood. Thus, this study is aimed at investigating the spatial characteristics of the seismogenic behavior of the Tokyo Bay earthquake nest through precise hypocenter relocation. The findings reveal that the earthquake nest forms a circular distribution of earthquakes (radius of ∼10 km), and plate-interface earthquakes occur on a well-defined westward-dipping plane with a slightly steeper dip angle than the average dip angle of the subducting Pacific (PAC) plate. Moreover, the seismogenic behavior differs spatially, with many and few plate-interface earthquakes occurring in the second quadrant and third quadrant of the nest, respectively, and M ≥ 5 earthquakes occurring in the fourth quadrant. As the characteristic scale (radius and height) of the Tokyo Bay earthquake nest is comparable with that of the seamounts on the incoming PAC plate, I infer that the Tokyo Bay earthquake nest is caused by a subducted seamount. The size of the Tokyo Bay earthquake nest is sufficiently large to generate M ∼ 7 earthquakes and can be a candidate for the hypocenter of the Meiji Tokyo earthquake.

1702地球物理及び地球化学
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