ゼロエミッション車の導入が健康被害を防ぐ可能性 (Adopting Zero-Emission Trucks and Buses Could Save Lives, Prevent Asthma in Illinois)

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2025-03-18 ノースウェスタン大学

ノースウェスタン大学の研究チームは、ゼロエミッション車両(ZEV)の導入がシカゴ大都市圏の大気質に与える影響をシミュレートし、その結果を『Frontiers of Earth Science』誌に発表しました。 研究では、カリフォルニア州の「Advanced Clean Trucks(ACT)」政策をモデルに、イリノイ州で同様の戦略を実施した場合の効果を検証しました。環境保護庁(EPA)の大気質モデルに衛星観測データと地域コミュニティの実体験を組み合わせ、シカゴ地域の現行の汚染レベルを再現し、ACT政策導入後の将来の大気質をシミュレートしました。その結果、ACT政策をイリノイ州で実施すると、シカゴ地域で年間約110人の早期死亡を防ぎ、2,400件以上の喘息症状の発生を抑制できる可能性が示されました。さらに、PM2.5濃度が最大24%低下し、オゾン濃度も最大4%減少することが予測されました。これらの改善は、特に交通量の多い地域や工業地帯で顕著であり、環境正義の観点からも重要な意義を持ちます。研究チームは、政策立案者がZEV導入の健康上の利点を考慮し、地域の大気質向上と住民の健康促進に向けた取り組みを推進することを期待しています。

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イリノイ州における先進クリーントラック政策の大気質、公衆衛生、公平性への影響を評価する Assessing the air quality, public health, and equity implications of an Advanced Clean Trucks policy for Illinois

Victoria A. Lang,Sara F. Camilleri,Neda Deylami,Maria H. Harris,Larissa Koehler,Brian Urbaszewski,Anastasia Montgomery & Daniel E. Horton
Frontiers of Earth Science  Published:18 March 2025
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-024-1144-8

Abstract

Policies designed to reduce transportation emissions are known to be co-beneficial due to reductions in planet-warming greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide (CO2) and health-harmful air pollutants, such as nitrogen dioxide (NO2). The growing recognition of persistent racial and ethnic disparities in air pollution exposure and associated health impacts has increased demand for policy interventions aimed at systematically reducing such inequities. Here, we use a regulatory-grade air quality model focused on the Chicago region to find that medium- and heavy-duty vehicle (MHDV) tailpipe emissions account for ∼22% of the area’s ambient NO2 concentrations. Exposure to MHDV-tailpipe NO2 in our domain is associated with 1330 (95% confidence interval (CI): 330, 2000) annual premature deaths and 1580 (95% CI: −310, 3870) new cases of pediatric asthma, disproportionately affecting census tracts with higher percentages of residents of color. Given the inequitable impacts of MHDV NO2 exposure, we also use our model to assess the air quality, health, and equity outcomes if a policy scenario based on California’s Advanced Clean Trucks (ACT) regulation were instantaneously adopted in Illinois. We find that ACT adoption would lead to ∼48% of on-road MHDVs having zero tailpipe emissions by 2050; an instantaneous transition to this policy would reduce annual mean population-weighted NO2 concentrations by 0.98 ppb (parts per billion) (−8.4%), resulting in reductions of 500 (95% CI: −120, −750) premature deaths and 600 (95% CI: 120, −1440) fewer new pediatric asthma cases annually–with the largest health benefits observed in neighborhoods with higher percentages of residents of color. Our study highlights the benefits of implementing policy interventions focused on zero-emission MHDVs to address air pollution exposure and health impact disparities.

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