農業雑草は気候変動の中で最終的に優位に立つのか?(Will agricultural weeds finally claim the upper hand in a changing climate?)

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2024-11-19 イリノイ大学アーバナ・シャンペーン校

農業雑草は気候変動の中で最終的に優位に立つのか?(Will agricultural weeds finally claim the upper hand in a changing climate?)
Waterhemp is among the weeds escaping POST herbicide application

イリノイ大学アーバナ・シャンペーン校と米国農務省農業研究局(USDA-ARS)の研究チームは、過去30年間のデータを分析し、気候変動が農業用除草剤の効果を低下させていることを明らかにしました。特に、気温や降水量の変動が、トウモロコシや大豆の主要な雑草であるウォーターヘンプやジャイアントフォックテイルに対する除草剤の効果を減少させています。この研究は、気候変動が農業生産と食料安全保障に与える影響を示唆しています。

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天候不順が進む中、安定した出穂後雑草防除を探る Searching for consistent postemergence weed control in progressively inconsistent weather

Christopher Landau,Kevin Bradley,Erin Burns,Anthony Dobbels,Alyssa Essman,Michael Flessner,Karla Gage[,Aaron Hager,Amit Jhala and Paul O Johnson…
Weed Science  Published:18 November 2024
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1017/wsc.2024.80

Abstract

Foliar applied postemergence herbicides are a critical component of corn and soybean weed management programs in North America. Rainfall and air temperature around the time of application may affect the efficacy of herbicides applied postemergence in corn or soybean production fields. However, previous research utilized a limited number of site-years and may not capture the range of rainfall and air temperatures that these herbicides are exposed to throughout North America. The objective of this research was to model the probability of achieving successful weed control (≥85%) with commonly applied postemergence herbicides across a broad range of environments. A large database of over 10,000 individual herbicide evaluation field trials conducted throughout North America was used in this study. The database was filtered to include only trials with a single postemergence application of fomesafen, glyphosate, mesotrione, or fomesafen + glyphosate. Waterhemp (Amaranthus tuburculatus (Moq.) J. D. Sauer), morningglory species (Ipomoea spp.), and giant foxtail (Setaria faberi Herrm.) were the weeds of focus. Separate random forest models were created for each weed species by herbicide combination. The probability of successful weed control deteriorated when the average air temperature within the first ten d after application was <19 or >25 C for most of the herbicide by weed species models. Additionally, dryer conditions prior to postemergence herbicide application reduced the probability of successful control for several of the herbicide by weed species models. As air temperatures increase and rainfall becomes more variable, weed control with many of the commonly used postemergence herbicides is likely to become less reliable.

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