ガンジス川の環境保全と汚染対策の重点地域を特定する新手法(A new tool helps target conservation and pollution control on the Ganges River)

2026-11-03 イェール大学

米国イェール大学を中心とする研究チームは、インドのガンジス川流域における水質汚染の脆弱性を地理的に可視化し、環境保全や汚染対策の優先地域を特定する評価モデルを開発した。研究対象は、ウッタル・プラデーシュ州を流れる約1,330kmの河川区間と、その両岸10kmずつを含む約26,600km²の地域である。研究チームは、人口密度、土地利用・土地被覆、平均降水量、河川・水路の密度、地形の傾斜、平均気温という6つの要因を取り上げ、階層分析法(AHP)と衛星リモートセンシング、地理空間データを組み合わせて汚染リスクを評価した。その結果、調査地域の約84%は汚染脆弱性が低い一方、都市部を中心とする約3.5%は高リスクと判定され、バラナシ、プラヤーグラージ、カーンプルなどが特に脆弱な地域として特定された。さらに、複数の評価手法を比較・統合し、予測結果の頑健性を検証した。本モデルは、下水処理施設の整備、環境監視、保全区域の設定など、限られた資源を効果的に配分するための意思決定支援に役立つ。

ガンジス川の環境保全と汚染対策の重点地域を特定する新手法(A new tool helps target conservation and pollution control on the Ganges River)

This map shows the Ganga Basin, in gray, and the buffer region, in blue, which is the scope of the study. The 20 km buffer zone extends 10 km on both sides of the main channel of river Ganga. Credit: Acciavatti et al.

<関連情報>

リモートセンシングデータを用いた階層分析法による持続可能な河川管理:世界で最も人口密度の高い河川流域であるガンジス川の河川景観脆弱性の推定 Sustainable river management using Analytical Hierarchical Process on remote sensing data: Estimating riverscape vulnerability for Ganga, the world’s most densely populated river basin

Anthony Acciavatti ,Sarthak Arora,Michael Warner,Ariel Chamberlain,James C. Smoot,Nikhil Raj Deep,Claire Gorman Hanly
PLOS Water  Published: June 12, 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pwat.0000394

Abstract

Surface water mixed with wastewater creates serious environmental concerns, particularly in densely populated urban areas with inadequate infrastructure. Such contamination threatens to cause major public health crises in the Ganga Basin where monsoonal flooding converges with 6 billion liters of untreated sewage that is discharged daily into the basin by 650 million people. GIS-based analytic hierarchy process (AHP) with remote sensing data was conducted to highlight areas of vulnerability along a 20-km wide riverscape. Analytic network process (ANP), Nested AHP, fuzzy AHP, and 1-N AHP (novel variant of AHP) were used to constrain AHP model uncertainties, and composites of these analyses were utilized to define the vulnerability of the river Ganga to pollution. AHP categorized 83.7% of the area as having extremely low or low vulnerability and 3.5% of the area as having highly or extremely high vulnerability. ANP and Nested AHP produced focused, yet dampened, vulnerability-score maps compared to AHP. Fuzzy AHP and 1-N AHP detected sensitivities to factor variability and potential unknown acute and chronic factors. While fuzzy AHP identified quintile-level changes in vulnerability based on scenario parameters, vulnerability scores of 1-N AHP and AHP showed no major differences. Normalized composite vulnerability ≥ 2 standard deviations highlighted particularly vulnerable locations and identified instances where network effects were greater than factor class and vice versa. Together, these analyses located areas of extreme vulnerability at the nexus of river Ganga and urban landscapes as well as regions of low vulnerability potentially suitable for conservation efforts or sustainable development practices to prevent their degradation. This approach contributes to a more comprehensive understanding of remote sensing data applications in environmental assessment, and these decision-making variants can also have broader applications in other areas of environmental management and sustainability, facilitating more precise and adaptable decision support frameworks in densely populated watersheds.

1901環境保全計画
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