CO₂施肥効果は世代を超えて持続しないことを解明 (CO₂ Fertilization Effect on Rice Yield Is Not Sustained over Multiple Generations)

2025-01-17 中国科学院(CAS)

大気中CO₂濃度上昇が作物収量を高める「CO₂施肥効果」は、将来世代にわたり持続するとは限らないことが明らかになった。中国科学院土壌研究所の朱春武教授率いる研究チームは、FACE実験を用い、複数世代にわたり高CO₂環境を経験したイネ2品種(ジャポニカのW23、インディカのY6)を解析した。その結果、初期にはY6で施肥効果が高かったが、世代を重ねるとY6では効果が低下し、W23では逆に増加した。5~6世代後には、地上部バイオマス、窒素吸収量、収量の施肥効果はいずれもW23が上回った。DNAメチル化や転写産物解析から、世代間CO₂曝露に伴うエピジェネティック変化が関与することが示され、単世代FACE実験に基づく従来モデルでは将来収量予測に大きな誤差が生じる可能性が示唆された。

CO₂施肥効果は世代を超えて持続しないことを解明 (CO₂ Fertilization Effect on Rice Yield Is Not Sustained over Multiple Generations)
Rice responses to single-generation and multigenerational exposure to elevated CO2 (Image by ZHU Chunwu’s team)

<関連情報>

二酸化炭素施肥による米の収量への影響は複数世代にわたって持続しない Carbon dioxide fertilization effect on rice yield is not sustained over multiple generations

Chuang Cai ∙ Ye Tao ∙ Xinyou Yin ∙ … ∙ Yiqi Luo ∙ Renfang Shen ∙ Chunwu Zhu
One Earth  Published:January 16, 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101573

Science for society

Feeding the growing population is one of the greatest challenges and calls for increasing global crop yields. Rising atmospheric CO2 concentration under future climate conditions offers opportunities to increase yields via the CO2 fertilization effect on crops such as rice, which billions depend on. For decades, the CO2 fertilization effect has been studied in short-term experiments. However, in the future high-CO2 world, crops will be grown generation after generation under elevated CO2 conditions. Whether the CO2 fertilization effect can be sustained over the long term remains unclear. We investigated the CO2 fertilization effect on rice over multiple generations in open-air field conditions. We found that the CO2 fertilization effect on rice growth and yield strongly depends on the number of generations exposed to elevated CO2. This indicates that short-term experiments upon which we have relied for decades cannot reliably predict long-term responses of rice growth and yield to elevated CO2. Therefore, global food security predictions based on short-term elevated CO2 experiments can be erroneous. We urgently need long-term studies to accurately predict crop yields in the high-CO2 world and to help design strategies for ensuring food security in the long run.

Highlights

  • The CO2 fertilization effect on rice growth depends on maternal CO2 experiences
  • The multigenerational effect of maternal eCO2 differs between rice cultivars
  • DNA methylation and transcriptome changes explain the multigenerational eCO2 effect
  • Multigenerational eCO2 effect is critical for future rice yield projection

Summary

Global crop production needs to increase to meet the growing demand for food. Rising atmospheric CO2 concentration offers opportunities to increase global productivity via the CO2 fertilization effect on C3 crops (including rice, Oryza sativa L.). However, whether the CO2 fertilization effect can be sustained over generations remains unclear. Here, we show that the CO2 fertilization effects on aboveground biomass, aboveground nitrogen uptake, and yield strongly depends on the number of generations in maternal elevated CO2 (eCO2) for rice cultivars Yangdao 6 (Y6; indica subspecies) and Wuyungeng 23 (W23; japonica subspecies) in free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE) experiments. DNA methylation and transcriptome changes provided epigenetic evidence on the multigenerational effects of maternal eCO2 on aboveground biomass, aboveground nitrogen uptake, and yield in both cultivars/subspecies. Our results highlight that data from multigenerational exposure to FACE experiments are needed to accurately predict crop production and food security in a future high-CO2 world.

1202農芸化学
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