湖水の透明度変化に関する初の包括的評価(New Study Offers First Comprehensive Assessment of Lake Water Clarity Changes)

2025-11-12 中国科学院(CAS)

中国科学院南京地理与湖沼研究所の研究チームは、1995〜2023年の170,799湖を対象に、140万枚の衛星画像から世界初となる湖水透明度の包括的評価を実施した。結果、世界の湖の透明度は約13%低下し、特に北米(69%)、欧州(70%)、アジア(56%)で顕著に減少した。北米の湖は平均透明度が2.76 mと高い一方、変動の大部分は気候変動と人為要因によるものと判明した。要因解析では、浅い湖では降水・風・植生指数(NDVI)・藻類ブルーム・永久凍土が、深い湖では降水・NDVI・藻類ブルーム・永久凍土が主要因となっていた。北米・欧州では温暖化による永久凍土融解と藻類増殖が透明度低下を招き、対照的にアジアの約44%の湖では植生回復に伴い透明度が向上した。本研究は、湖の光環境の変化を全球規模で初めて統合的に示し、今後の生態系保全や持続的湖沼管理に重要な知見を提供する。

<関連情報>

世界の湖の透明度の時空間変動と気候および景観要因への反応 Spatiotemporal variations in global lake clarity and responses to climate and landscape drivers

Yibo Zhang, Yunlin Zhang, R. Iestyn Woolway, Zhigang Cao, Xiwen Wang, Jian Zhou, Yongqiang Zhou, Weijia Wang, Na Li, Boqiang Qin, Kun Shi
Science Bulletin  Available online: 30 October 2025
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2025.10.045

Abstract

Water clarity, typically measured by the Secchi disk depth (SDD), is a critical factor influencing the functioning and development of lake ecosystems, yet the complex response of SDD to a warming world is not well understood. Here, we integrated Landsat-based modeling datasets and retrieved a time-series water SDD database by analyzing approximately 1.4 million satellite images. Covering the period from 1995 to 2023, this dataset provides insights into the SDD dynamics of 170,799 lakes larger than 1 km2 worldwide. We show that 67% of the studied lakes have experienced a decreasing trend in SDD, with 39% exhibiting a statistically significant decline. Globally, lakes have experienced a 13% decrease in SDD. However, 44% of lakes in Asia demonstrate an increase in SDD. We propose that watershed climate, landscape influences, and in-lake algal blooms all exert significant impacts on changes in SDD. Climatic warming contributes to SDD decreases in North American and European lakes by promoting permafrost thaw and enhancing algal growth. Conversely, the observed increases in SDD in Asian lakes are primarily associated with the greening of surrounding landscapes. Our findings highlight the complex ways in which climate change affects lake SDD, emphasizing the combined roles of altered surrounding landscapes and in-lake algal growth in shaping these dynamics.

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