気候変動に対する人為的影響の理解を深める研究(Study advances understanding of anthropogenic effects on climate change)

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2023-06-30 カリフォルニア大学リバーサイド校(UCR)

◆人為的なエアロゾルと温室効果ガス(GHG)は、海洋の熱の貯留と分布に影響を与えてきた。カリフォルニア大学リバーサイド校の研究チームは、両者の効果を調査し、エアロゾルの変化が海洋循環と熱の分布により大きな影響を与えていることを発見した。これに対し、GHGの影響は比較的小さい。
◆研究者は、この知見が地域の海面上昇などに与える影響を理解し、気候変動対策を進める上で重要であると述べている。

<関連情報>

人為起源のエアロゾルと温室効果ガスによる海洋の熱取り込みと流域間の再分布 Ocean heat uptake and interbasin redistribution driven by anthropogenic aerosols and greenhouse gases

Shouwei Li,Wei Liu,Robert J. Allen,Jia-Rui Shi & Laifang Li
Nature Geoscience  Published:29 June 2023
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01219-x

気候変動に対する人為的影響の理解を深める研究(Study advances understanding of anthropogenic effects on climate change)

Abstract

Anthropogenic aerosols and greenhouse gases have played important roles in modulating the storage and distribution of heat in oceans since the industrial age. Here we isolate and quantify the effects of both using coupled climate model simulations. We show that, relative to the pre-industrial ocean, the Southern Ocean imports heat from the Indo-Pacific Ocean but exports heat into the Atlantic Ocean in response to anthropogenic aerosols. Ocean heat uptake diminishes in the subpolar Atlantic. Alterations in ocean circulation and temperature have a weak compensation in contributing to interbasin heat exchange. Consequently, interbasin heat exchange contributes comparably to ocean heat uptake changes to modifying the stored heat in the Atlantic and Indo-Pacific. The greenhouse-gas-associated changes are the opposite of the aerosol-associated changes. Anthropogenic greenhouse gases promote the ocean heat uptake in the subpolar Atlantic and allow the Southern Ocean to import heat from the Atlantic but export heat to the Indo-Pacific. The cause of this ocean heat redistribution is distinct from the aerosol-forcing scenario, seeing that ocean circulation effects are strongly offset by temperature shifts. Accordingly, interbasin heat exchange is much less important than ocean heat uptake changes for greenhouse-gas-associated ocean heat storage. Our results suggest that the aerosol-driven changes in ocean circulations and associated interbasin heat transports are more effective in altering oceanic heat distribution than those driven by globally increasing greenhouse gases.

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