日本近海の海面水温が、遠く離れた貿易風を変える~中緯度域と低緯度域を双方向に繋ぐ大気海洋相互作用の理解へ期待~

2026-02-13 北海道大学,海洋研究開発機構

北海道大学と海洋研究開発機構の研究グループは、日本近海の黒潮続流域における海面水温上昇が、北太平洋亜熱帯域の貿易風を弱化させる遠隔影響を持つことを解明し、『Geophysical Research Letters』に発表した。大気大循環モデル実験と再解析データ解析により、中緯度域から低緯度域への「逆向き」影響を実証。貿易風の弱化は亜熱帯域の海面水温上昇を促し、さらに熱帯域の大気海洋結合変動へ波及する可能性を示した。従来の熱帯起源の影響に加え、中緯度起源の役割を明確化し、全球気候形成や将来予測の高度化に重要な知見を提供する。

日本近海の海面水温が、遠く離れた貿易風を変える~中緯度域と低緯度域を双方向に繋ぐ大気海洋相互作用の理解へ期待~
黒潮続流域の海面水温変動から貿易風への影響は、亜熱帯域から熱帯域にかけての大気と海洋の相互作用を促す

<関連情報>

大気内部変動の影響下における北西太平洋の中緯度海面水温上昇に対する亜熱帯の大気応答 Subtropical Atmospheric Response to Extratropical SST Warming in the Western North Pacific Under Atmospheric Internal Variability Itsuki Miura, Youichi Tanimoto Geophysical Research Letters  Published: 12 February 2026 DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL118296

Abstract

Sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the Kuroshio Extension (KE) region have been increasingly recognized as playing a key role in shaping the extratropical air–sea interactions. However, the extent to which such extratropical SST forcing can influence large-scale atmospheric circulation and surrounding SST remains uncertain, particularly given strong atmospheric internal variability. Here, we investigate the atmospheric response to idealized positive SST anomalies in the KE region using large-ensemble atmospheric general circulation model experiments. The imposed forcing generates a robust sea-level pressure anomaly over and downstream of the KE, leading to surface westerly wind anomalies extending into the subtropical North Pacific. Despite substantial atmospheric internal variability over the Aleutian Low region, these subtropical wind anomalies consistently emerge across the ensemble. Our results suggest that SST forcing in the KE region can modulate air–sea interactions not only locally but also across a broader region extending equatorward.

Plain Language Summary

In the North Pacific, the Kuroshio Extension (KE) is one of the major western boundary currents, located off the east coast of Japan. Sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in this region play a crucial role in extratropical air–sea interactions because the KE releases large amounts of heat and moisture into the atmosphere, particularly during boreal winter. However, due to strong atmospheric internal variability in the extratropics, it has been difficult to clearly identify how SST anomalies in the KE affect large-scale atmospheric patterns. In this study, we investigated the atmospheric response to idealized positive SST anomalies in the KE using a set of 100 atmospheric general circulation model experiments. By analyzing the atmospheric responses with careful consideration of internal variability, we identified a robust pattern of westerly wind anomalies extending equatorward from the KE region. These westerly winds weaken the background trade winds and reduce ocean surface heat loss, potentially contributing to warm SST anomalies in the subtropics. Our study highlights that the atmospheric responses to SST forcing in the KE region are not confined locally but also influence the subtropical North Pacific.

Key Points

  • Positive sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the Kuroshio Extension region induce robust low-pressure and wind responses in the lower atmosphere
  • A key robust feature is the emergence of westerly wind anomalies in the subtropical North Pacific, independent of internal variability
  • These wind anomalies likely contribute to subtropical SST warming, suggesting broader air–sea coupling
1702地球物理及び地球化学
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