AIは人類に存亡の危機をもたらさない – 新たな研究結果(AI poses no existential threat to humanity – new study finds)

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2024-08-12 バース大学

ChatGPTや他の大規模言語モデル(LLM)は、自主的に学習したり新しいスキルを習得する能力がなく、制御可能で予測可能な存在であるため、人類に対する存在的な脅威を与えることはないと、バース大学とドイツのダルムシュタット工科大学の研究が示しました。LLMは指示に従う能力と言語の熟練度は高いが、明示的な指導なしには新しいスキルを習得できないため、複雑な推論能力を持つことはないと結論付けられています。このため、誤用のリスクはあるものの、安全性に関する懸念は不要とされています。

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大規模言語モデルにおける創発的能力は単なる文脈内学習なのか? Are Emergent Abilities in Large Language Models just In-Context Learning?

Sheng Lu, Irina Bigoulaeva, Rachneet Sachdeva, Harish Tayyar Madabushi, Iryna Gurevych
arXiv  last revised 15 Jul 2024 (this version, v2)
DOI:https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2309.01809

AIは人類に存亡の危機をもたらさない – 新たな研究結果(AI poses no existential threat to humanity – new study finds)

Abstract

Large language models, comprising billions of parameters and pre-trained on extensive web-scale corpora, have been claimed to acquire certain capabilities without having been specifically trained on them. These capabilities, referred to as “emergent abilities,” have been a driving force in discussions regarding the potentials and risks of language models. A key challenge in evaluating emergent abilities is that they are confounded by model competencies that arise through alternative prompting techniques, including in-context learning, which is the ability of models to complete a task based on a few examples. We present a novel theory that explains emergent abilities, taking into account their potential confounding factors, and rigorously substantiate this theory through over 1000 experiments. Our findings suggest that purported emergent abilities are not truly emergent, but result from a combination of in-context learning, model memory, and linguistic knowledge. Our work is a foundational step in explaining language model performance, providing a template for their efficient use and clarifying the paradox of their ability to excel in some instances while faltering in others. Thus, we demonstrate that their capabilities should not be overestimated.

1600情報工学一般
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