氷の融解メカニズムを複数発見、気候モデルへ応用(When Does Melting Ice Capsize? New Research Unearths Several Mechanisms)

2025-09-15 ニューヨーク大学 (NYU)

ニューヨーク大学(NYU)の研究チームは、氷が水面で溶ける過程における「キャップサイズ(転覆現象)」の仕組みを実験と数理モデルで解明した。氷は均一には溶けず、表面の位置によって異なる速度で形が変化するため、重心と浮力のバランスが崩れ、ある臨界点で突然ひっくり返ることがわかった。研究では、浮かぶ氷の形態進化を追跡し、数値モデルで重力・浮力・流体力を組み合わせた運動方程式を構築。これにより実験で観察された氷の転覆タイミングや姿勢変化を正確に再現できた。この成果は、自然界の氷山や海氷がどのように姿勢を変え、海洋の熱・塩分循環や光の反射特性に影響を及ぼすかを理解する手がかりとなり、気候モデルの精緻化にも貢献すると期待される。

氷の融解メカニズムを複数発見、気候モデルへ応用(When Does Melting Ice Capsize? New Research Unearths Several Mechanisms)
Above, iceberg’s in Greenland’s Ilulissat Icefjord. Photo credit: Eloi_Omella/Getty Images

<関連情報>

融解氷の形状進化と転覆力学 Shape evolution and capsize dynamics of melting ice

Bobae Johnson, Scott Weady, Zihan Zhang, Alison Kim, and Leif Ristroph
Physical Review Fluids  Published: 12 September, 2025
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1103/rc7r-h66q

Abstract

Ice melting is a complex, dynamic, and multiscale process involving many feedback effects. An essential but poorly understood factor for floating ice is the potential to overturn, as dramatically demonstrated by capsizing icebergs. Here we study the melting-induced reshaping of ice coupled to its free rotation dynamics and find that periods of stable equilibrium are punctuated by spontaneous capsize events. Laboratory experiments on floating ice show that melting produces faceted and angular shapes whose tendency to orient to the waterline is repeatedly upset by rolling over. Similar geometries and motions are reproduced in simulations that drive the shape development via differential melt rate over the surface and which solve for the rotational dynamics subject to shape-dependent forcing from gravity, buoyancy, and hydrodynamics. Melting gradually drives the structure toward postural instability while also priming other orientations that prove stable when reached by abrupt flipping. These findings show how the shape and motions of ice are inextricably linked at fundamental scales, and they reveal mechanisms that may be operative for natural conditions.

1702地球物理及び地球化学
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