樹木の植樹は本当に地球を冷やすのか?(Does planting trees really help cool the planet?)

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2025-05-29 カリフォルニア大学リバーサイド校(UCR)

カリフォルニア大学リバーサイド校の研究によると、失われた森林をすべて再生すれば、地球の平均気温を約0.34℃下げる可能性があります。特に熱帯森林は炭素吸収とBVOCの放出により冷却効果が高く、これが太陽光反射や雲形成を促進します。ただし、これは温暖化全体の約4分の1を緩和する効果で、排出削減と併用が必要です。また、森林再生は地域の大気質にも影響を及ぼし、北半球では粉塵が減少する一方、熱帯ではエアロゾルが増加する可能性があります。

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大気化学が樹木修復の気候緩和ポテンシャルを高める Atmospheric chemistry enhances the climate mitigation potential of tree restoration

Robert J. Allen,Yu-Chi Lee,Antony Thomas,David Duarte,Mohima Sultana Mimi,Kai-Yuan Li,Brianna Wenzel,Joon-Gu Jeon & Olivia E. Clifton
Communications Earth & Environment  Published:13 May 2025
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02343-9

樹木の植樹は本当に地球を冷やすのか?(Does planting trees really help cool the planet?)

Abstract

Although tree restoration, including reforestation and afforestation, can enhance carbon sequestration and help mitigate climate change, this negative forcing can be strengthened or weakened through non-carbon cycle biogeophysical factors, including atmospheric chemistry. Here, we conduct climate modeling experiments with and without atmospheric chemistry driven by a high-end tree restoration scenario. Under both frameworks, the biogeophysical effects drive global mean warming due to surface darkening. This warming is muted in the Southern Hemisphere due to enhanced evapotranspiration. Furthermore, there is less warming—especially in the Southern Hemisphere—under interactive atmospheric chemistry, largely due to enhanced organic aerosol and cloud effects. Biogeophysical effects mute 45% of the biogeochemical cooling associated with enhanced land carbon storage, which decreases to 24% with atmospheric chemistry (including methane). Thus, higher climate change mitigation potential of tree restoration results from atmospheric chemistry effects, which are not usually considered.

1904環境影響評価
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