四半世紀の観測でわかった冷たい北の海の変化~カムチャツカ半島沖の海の酸性化や生物生産の推移~

2026-02-18 海洋研究開発機構,水産研究・教育機構,九州大学,科学技術振興機構

海洋研究開発機構らの研究チームは、北太平洋西部亜寒帯・カムチャツカ半島沖の定点K2で1999~2023年の25年観測データを解析し、海洋酸性化と生物生産の長期変動を解明した。表層水温は年0.056℃で上昇(日本近海の1.87倍)、塩分は低下。pHは年0.0014低下し、酸性化は世界平均並みで進行していた。一方、栄養塩の年平均に大きな変化はないが、春(5月)は生産減少、夏(7月)は増加という季節構造の変化を確認。春の光量低下や夏の黄砂由来鉄供給がケイ藻ブルーム時期に影響する可能性を示した。成果は『Progress in Earth and Planetary Science』掲載。

四半世紀の観測でわかった冷たい北の海の変化~カムチャツカ半島沖の海の酸性化や生物生産の推移~
図1.北太平洋西部亜寒帯における定点K2および海洋地球研究船「みらい」

<関連情報>

999年から2023年までの25年間における北太平洋西部亜寒帯地域における海洋酸性化と生物生産の変化 Ocean acidification and changes in biological production in the western subarctic region of the North Pacific over the quarter century, 1999–2023

Masahide Wakita,Akira Nagano,Hiroshi Uchida,Yoshiyuki Nakano,Katsunori Kimoto,Masahito Shigemitsu,Kana Nagashima,Fumikazu Taketani,Tetsuichi Fujiki,Maki Noguchi-Aita,Kosei Sasaoka,Tsuneo Ono & Toshihiko Takemura
Progress in Earth and Planetary Science  Published:14 February 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-026-00799-7

Abstract

Changes in the physical and biogeochemical conditions of the ocean over time can affect marine ecosystems. In this study, we use biogeochemical observational data for the past 25 years (1999–2023) to investigate ocean acidification and changes in biological production at site K2 (47˚ N, 160˚ E) in the western subarctic region of the North Pacific Ocean. During this period, satellite-derived sea surface temperatures increased at a rate of 0.056 °C yr–1, while the surface mixed-layer salinity decreased by 0.004 yr−1. As a result of the oceanic uptake of anthropogenic CO2 from the atmosphere, the deseasonalized annual mean surface mixed-layer pH and saturation states of calcium carbonate minerals of calcite and aragonite decreased at rates of 0.0013 ± 0.0004, 0.007 ± 0.003, and 0.004 ± 0.002 yr−1, respectively. These rates are consistent with those calculated for winter. Under these acidification conditions, no significant trends were observed in either the annual mean or winter concentrations of nutrients (phosphate, nitrate, and silicate), or in total alkalinity in the surface mixed layer. However, the decadal trends in nutrient concentrations show a significant increase in May and decrease in July. Net community production (NCP), which is an index of biological production, was estimated from differences in nutrient concentrations between winter and May or July. This analysis revealed significant decreasing trends in NCP from winter to May, followed by increasing trends from winter to July. The stoichiometric molar ratio of Si associated with the July NCP increase (P:N:Si = 1:15:55) is higher than the previously reported ratio (1:16:40). A significant decreasing trend in satellite-derived photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) was observed in May (0.20 ± 0.08 yr−1), which may be linked to reduced biological production during that month. This decrease may be offset by increased production in summer that is likely due to a shift in the timing of the diatom bloom. These findings highlight the effects of long-term changes of potential drivers of both atmospheric and deep oceanic origin on oceanic biological production.

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