大気汚染が気候冷却効果をもたらすことを示唆(The chilling effect of air pollution)

2025-11-05 ワシントン大学(UW)

ワシントン大学の研究によると、大気汚染の減少が地球の雲の反射率を下げ、温暖化を加速させていることが明らかになった。2003〜2022年の衛星データ解析で、北東太平洋と大西洋上の雲の反射率が10年ごとに約3%減少し、その70%がエアロゾル低下によるものと判明。エアロゾルは雲滴を増やし雲を明るく保つが、削減により雲滴が大きくなり寿命が短縮、太陽光吸収が増す。これは温室効果ガスによる温暖化を長年“隠していた冷却効果”が失われた結果とされる。研究はNature Communications誌に掲載され、地球温暖化が予測以上に進む要因を説明する重要な知見を提供した。

大気汚染が気候冷却効果をもたらすことを示唆(The chilling effect of air pollution)
The streaks in this satellite image are from ships, which emit sulfate aerosols that can be toxic to humans and the environment. Aerosols also make the clouds more reflective. Efforts to curb pollution have reduced the amount of sunlight Earth reflects and accelerated warming, a new University of Washington study shows.NASA

<関連情報>

エアロゾル汚染の減少により、北大西洋と北東太平洋の雲の反射率が低下した Reduced aerosol pollution diminished cloud reflectivity over the North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific

Knut von Salzen,Ayodeji Akingunola,Jason N. S. Cole,Ruth A. R. Digby,Sarah J. Doherty,Luke Fraser-Leach,Edward Gryspeerdt,Michael Sigmond & Robert Wood
Nature Communications  Published:05 November 2025
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-65127-x

Abstract

Over the past several decades, the proportion of solar radiation reflected back into space has declined, accelerating the accumulation of heat within the Earth system. Here we show that the marine cloud reflectivity decreased on average by 2.8 ± 1.2% per decade in the combined North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific regions between 2003 and 2022. The majority of the Earth System Models we analyzed simulated a significantly weaker cloud reflectivity decrease and warming of the sea surface in these regions than observed. In contrast, our simulations using an improved aerosol-climate model reproduce the spatial extent and magnitude of the observed cloud reflectivity decrease. We show that reductions in sulfur dioxide and other aerosol precursors accounted for 69% (range 55−85%) of the cloud reflectivity decrease through aerosol-cloud interactions, consistent with the observed aerosol and cloud trends. This raises the prospect of a continuing cloud reflectivity decrease and an associated warming impact in these regions, given that the emission reductions are projected to persist over the next few decades. Further research is needed to assess whether near-term climate scenarios should be revised to account for the weak cloud reflectivity reductions in the Earth System Models.

1702地球物理及び地球化学
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