太陽活動の増加をNASAの分析が示す(NASA Analysis Shows Sun’s Activity Ramping Up)

2025-09-15 NASA

NASAの解析によれば、太陽は現在活動期に入りつつあり、黒点の数や太陽フレアの発生が急増している。これは次の「太陽極大期」に向けた自然な変化であり、オーロラを強める一方で、地球の通信衛星やGPS、電力網に深刻な影響を与える恐れがある。特に強力なフレアやコロナ質量放出は、高度な通信インフラや宇宙飛行士の安全にも関わるため、正確な予測と監視体制の強化が求められる。NASAは太陽観測衛星群や地上観測網からのデータを統合し、宇宙天気のモデルを改良することで、数日前の早期警告を実現しようとしている。こうした取り組みは、社会基盤を守ると同時に、宇宙空間の探査・利用の安全性向上にも寄与する。

太陽活動の増加をNASAの分析が示す(NASA Analysis Shows Sun’s Activity Ramping Up)
On Sept. 9, 2025, NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory captured this image of the Sun.
NASA/GSFC/Solar Dynamics Observatory

<関連情報>

太陽は2008年に数十年にわたる減光傾向を逆転させた The Sun Reversed Its Decades-long Weakening Trend in 2008

Jamie M. Jasinski and Marco Velli
The Astrophysical Journal Letters  Published: 2025 September 8
DOI:10.3847/2041-8213/adf3a6

Abstract

Over the course of two decades until 2008, the solar wind became significantly weaker with a constant declining trend in many important solar wind parameters, and solar cycle 24 being the weakest on record since the start of the space age. Here we show that since 2008, the Sun has reversed this long-term weakening trend with a steady increase in various solar wind proton parameters observed at 1 au. Furthermore, comparison of values from a fitted trend to data between 2008 and 2025 show the following increases in solar wind proton parameters: speed (~6%), density (~26%), temperature (~29%), thermal pressure (~45%), mass flux (~27%), momentum flux or dynamic pressure (~34%), energy flux (~40%), interplanetary magnetic field magnitude (~31%), and the radial component of the magnetic field (~33%). This has important implications on long-term solar trends, implying that the exceptional weakness of solar cycle 24 was most likely a recent outlier and that the Sun is not entering a modern era Maunder/Dalton-like minimum phase in its solar variation, but is instead recovering from a ~20 yr decline. Presently, the trending average solar wind dynamic pressure of ~1.9 nPa in the current solar cycle, however, is still lower than the recorded ~2.4 nPa at the end of the 20th century. Continuous future measurements will reveal whether this increase will continue in upcoming solar cycles or whether these parameters will remain stable.

1702地球物理及び地球化学
ad
ad
Follow
ad
タイトルとURLをコピーしました