気候変動と熱波が湖の酸素減少を加速(Climate Warming and Heatwaves Accelerate Global Lake Deoxygenation, Study Reveals)

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2025-03-21 中国科学院(CAS)

中国科学院南京地理与湖沼研究所の施坤教授と張雲林教授の研究チームは、南京大学および英国バンガー大学と共同で、過去20年間にわたる15,000以上の湖の表層溶存酸素(DO)濃度の変化を分析しました。その結果、83%の湖で有意な脱酸素化が確認され、湖の脱酸素化速度は海洋や河川を上回ることが明らかになりました。主な要因として、気候温暖化が酸素溶解度を低下させ、全球的な表層DO減少の55%を占めていることが示されました。また、熱波は表層DOを平均気温時と比較して7.7%減少させることが分かりました。この研究は、気候変動が淡水生態系に与える深刻な影響を示し、湖沼生態系の保全に向けた対策の必要性を強調しています。

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気候温暖化と熱波が世界の湖沼の脱酸素化を加速する Climate warming and heatwaves accelerate global lake deoxygenation

Yibo Zhang, Kun Shi, R. Iestyn Woolway, Xiwen Wang, and Yunlin Zhang
Science Advances  Published:21 Mar 2025
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adt5369

気候変動と熱波が湖の酸素減少を加速(Climate Warming and Heatwaves Accelerate Global Lake Deoxygenation, Study Reveals)

Abstract

A widespread decline in dissolved oxygen (DO) has been observed in rivers, temperate lakes, and oceans, yet the impacts of climatic warming on global lake deoxygenation remain unclear. Here, we train data-driven models using climatic data, satellite images, and geographic factors to reconstruct surface DO and quantify the climatic contribution to DO variations in 15,535 lakes from 2003 to 2023. Our analysis indicates a continuous deoxygenation in 83% of the studied lakes. The mean deoxygenation rate in global lakes (−0.049 milligrams per liter per decade) is faster than that observed in the oceans and in rivers. By decreasing solubility, climatic warming contributes 55% of global lake deoxygenation. Meanwhile, heatwaves exert rapid influences on DO decline, resulting in a 7.7% deoxygenation compared to that observed under climatological mean temperatures. By the end of the century, global lake DO is projected to decrease by 0.41 milligrams per liter (4.3%) under SSP2-4.5 and 0.86 milligrams per liter (8.8%) under SSP5-8.5 scenarios.

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