100年に一度の太陽スーパーフレア(Solar Superflares once per Century)

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2024-12-13 マックス・プランク研究所

100年に一度の太陽スーパーフレア(Solar Superflares once per Century)Artist’s impression of a superflaring sun-like star as seen in visible light. © MPS/Alexey Chizhik

太陽に似た恒星は、約100年に一度、これまで観測された最強のフレアをはるかに上回る「スーパーフレア」を起こす可能性があることが、マックス・プランク太陽系研究所(MPS)を中心とした国際研究チームの分析で明らかになりました。この推定は、NASAのケプラー宇宙望遠鏡のデータから得られた56,450個の太陽類似星の観測に基づいています。これまでの研究では、これらの恒星の爆発的な可能性が過小評価されていたことが示されています。スーパーフレアは、1兆発の水素爆弾に匹敵するエネルギーを放出し、過去に記録された太陽フレアをはるかに凌駕します。この発見により、太陽も同様の強力な爆発を起こす可能性があることが示唆されています。

<関連情報>

太陽のような恒星は、およそ1世紀に1度スーパーフレアを発生させる Sun-like stars produce superflares roughly once per century

Valeriy Vasilyev, Timo Reinhold, Alexander I. Shapiro, Ilya Usoskin, […], and Laurent Gizon
Science  Published:12 Dec 2024
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adl5441

Editor’s summary

Solar flares are bright, transient, multiwavelength emissions from active regions on the Sun. The most intense directly observed solar flares release energies of about 1032 erg. It is unclear whether the Sun can produce more intense flares than that or how often they might occur. Vasilyev et al. investigated brightness measurements of 56,000 Sun-like stars observed by the Kepler space telescope. They identified almost 3000 bright stellar flares with energies of about 1034 to 1035 erg, which are called superflares. The occurrence rate is about one superflare per star per century. If the Sun behaves like the stars in this sample, then it could produce superflares at a similar rate. —Keith T. Smith

Abstract

Stellar superflares are energetic outbursts of electromagnetic radiation that are similar to solar flares but release more energy, up to 1036 erg on main-sequence stars. It is unknown whether the Sun can generate superflares and, if so, how often they might occur. We used photometry from the Kepler space observatory to investigate superflares on other stars with Sun-like fundamental parameters. We identified 2889 superflares on 2527 Sun-like stars, out of 56,450 observed. This detection rate indicates that superflares with energies >1034 erg occur roughly once per century on stars with Sun-like temperature and variability. The resulting stellar superflare frequency-energy distribution is consistent with an extrapolation of the Sun’s flare distribution to higher energies, so we suggest that both are generated by the same physical mechanism.

1701物理及び化学
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