アッパーミッドウエストにおける数十年にわたる極端な暑さと寒さの追跡調査(Study tracks decades of extreme heat, cold in Upper Midwest)

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2024-08-20 イリノイ大学アーバナ・シャンペーン校

1979年から2021年の間、米国中西部の9州における極端な暑さと寒さの傾向を追跡した研究が行われました。地域ごとの違いが顕著で、多くの地域で極端な暑さの日数が増加し、一部では極端な寒さも増加しました。また、両方の極端な気象を経験する地域もありました。このデータは、郡レベルの社会的脆弱性と重ね合わせられ、地域ごとの気候変動に対する耐性の違いが明らかになりました。

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米国中西部上部における猛暑ストレスと極寒イベントの評価 Assessment of Deadly Heat Stress and Extreme Cold Events in the Upper Midwestern United States

Manas Khan,Rabin Bhattarai and Liang Chen
Atmosphere  Published: 19 May 2024
DOI:https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos15050614

アッパーミッドウエストにおける数十年にわたる極端な暑さと寒さの追跡調査(Study tracks decades of extreme heat, cold in Upper Midwest)

Abstract

Understanding and addressing the implications of extreme temperature-related events are critical under climate change, as they directly impact public health and strain energy infrastructure. This study delved into the critical assessment of deadly heat stress and extreme cold events in the Upper Midwestern United States (UMUS), from 1979 to 2021, recognizing the substantial and disparate impact these phenomena have on socially vulnerable communities. In the current study, the modified Mann–Kendall method was applied to understand the temporal trend of extreme heat stress, as well as extreme cold events, from 1979 to 2021 in the UMUS. The results showed that the average annual frequency of daytime extreme heat stress events was comparatively lower in the northern parts of the UMUS compared to the southern parts from 1979 to 2021. Furthermore, a significant increasing trend in daytime extreme heat stress was found in parts of Michigan, Wisconsin (around the lake region), Ohio, and lower parts of Indiana and Kentucky from 1979 to 2021. In contrast, a decreasing trend was noticed in western parts of the UMUS (parts of Minnesota, Iowa, and Missouri). A significant decreasing trend in extreme cold events was found throughout the UMUS from 1979 to 2021. However, an increasing trend was also noticed in Iowa and northern parts of Minnesota, Michigan, and Wisconsin. The results provide important insights for better understanding the unique risks posed by extreme temperature-related events, especially toward socially vulnerable communities in the UMUS, which is crucial for developing targeted interventions and fostering resilience in the face of escalating climate-related threats.

1702地球物理及び地球化学
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