恐竜絶滅を引き起こした小惑星衝突、サメ・エイには限定的影響—AI解析で判明(Asteroid that wiped out dinosaurs had limited impact on sharks and rays, major AI-driven study shows)

2026-01-22 スウォンジー大学

Swansea Universityが主導したAI活用研究により、恐竜を絶滅させた約6600万年前の巨大隕石衝突が、サメやエイ類には限定的な影響しか及ぼさなかったことが明らかになった。研究チームは、世界中から集めた数千点規模の化石歯データを用い、機械学習によって形態多様性と進化パターンを解析。その結果、隕石衝突前後でサメ・エイ類の多様性や生態的機能に大きな断絶は見られず、海洋生態系において比較的高い回復力を示していたことが分かった。これは、従来想定されていた「大量絶滅による海洋捕食者の壊滅」という見方を修正する成果である。研究者らは、サメやエイが広範な生息域や柔軟な食性を持っていたことが、生存と進化の鍵になった可能性を指摘している。本研究は、絶滅イベントに対する生物の耐性理解を深めるとともに、現代の生物多様性保全にも示唆を与える。

<関連情報>

過去1億4500万年にわたるサメとエイの多様性の隠れたパターンを明らかにする Revealing the hidden patterns of shark and ray diversity over the past 145 million years

Amanda Gardiner ∙ Gregor H. Mathes ∙ Rebecca Cooper ∙ … ∙ Jaime A. Villafaña ∙ Daniele Silvestro ∙ Catalina Pimiento

Current Biology  Published:January 22, 2026

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cub.2025.12.017

Graphical abstract

恐竜絶滅を引き起こした小惑星衝突、サメ・エイには限定的影響—AI解析で判明(Asteroid that wiped out dinosaurs had limited impact on sharks and rays, major AI-driven study shows)

Highlights

  • Neoselachian diversity steadily increased throughout the Cretaceous
  • K/Pg boundary shows only ∼10% species loss instead of mass collapse
  • Maximum diversity is reached in the mid-Eocene, surpassing modern levels
  • A prolonged decline follows Eocene maximum, leaving modern richness depleted

Summary

Neoselachians (a monophyletic group including modern sharks, rays, and skates and their extinct relatives)1,2 have an extensive fossil record and a long evolutionary history,1,2,3 with over 1,100 extant species today.4 Previous reconstructions of their evolutionary history suggest a diversity peak in the Cretaceous, a severe decline across the Cretaceous-Paleogene (K/Pg),5,6,7,8,9 and a prolonged stability thereafter,7,8 aside from a small decline in the Pliocene.10 However, our knowledge of past neoselachian diversity has been mostly based on high taxonomic levels (e.g., genera or families),8 or from studies restricted to particular regions,11,12,13 time periods,5,9 or shark orders.14,15 This is further complicated by spatiotemporal biases,16,17 which can lead to apparent diversity changes, even when bias-correction methods are employed.16,17 Using an extensive dataset of fossil occurrences18 and a deep-learning model that explicitly accounts for spatiotemporal and taxonomic sampling variation,19 we reconstruct the neoselachian diversity trajectory over the past 145 million years. We found a long-term increase during the Cretaceous, in which neoselachians reached modern diversity levels. Throughout the K/Pg, we recovered only a small (10%) decline, suggesting high turnover rather than a major extinction. Diversity then surged, culminating in a mid-Eocene peak, when neoselachians reached maximum richness. This peak was followed by a fluctuating yet downward trajectory toward the present, which overall resulted in a 41% loss of species and left modern diversity depleted compared to their thriving past. Together, our results reveal patterns hitherto obscured by multiple biases, challenging previous paradigms about neoselachian diversity.

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