植物の暑さへの反応は予測困難:気候変動下の課題(Predicting how plants will fare in the heat is not so easy)

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2025-06-18 アリゾナ大学

植物の暑さへの反応は予測困難:気候変動下の課題(Predicting how plants will fare in the heat is not so easy)According to a review article published by researchers at the University of Arizona and The University of British Columbia, small-scale observations of how plants respond to heat don’t always translate into an accurate prediction at a larger scale.

アリゾナ大学などの研究によると、植物の熱ストレス応答を葉や枝などの小スケールで測定しても、森林全体の反応を正確に予測するのは困難である。蒸散による冷却や上下層の環境差、測定スケールの不一致などが予測誤差の原因となる。特に乾燥の影響は過小評価されがちで、温暖化に対する植物の適応力を過信するリスクがある。生態系レベルの正確なモデルには、広域かつ多様なデータ統合が必要とされている。

<関連情報>

熱に対する植物の応答のスケールアップ 分子から生物圏まで Scaling plant responses to heat: From molecules to the biosphere

Margaret E. K. Evans, Jia Hu, and Sean T. Michaletz
Science  Published:12 Jun 2025
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adv7597

Abstract

Predicting plant responses to rising temperatures, including acute heat waves and hot droughts of varying intensity and duration, is central to addressing the climate and biodiversity crises. However, plant responses to heat are scale-dependent, complicating cross-scale prediction. We highlight recent progress revealing how and why plant responses to heat change across scales, including scales of biological organization and space versus time. We give examples of scaling up from molecular- and leaf-scale data and processes, which are modified by homeostatic and buffering mechanisms at whole plant and ecosystem scales. We show that scaling down—predicting plant responses to warming from broad-scale spatial patterns—can also be misleading, even in direction. Addressing such scale dependencies is essential to improving the prediction of plant responses to heat.

1200農業一般
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