氷期の火山噴火が大西洋海洋循環崩壊を誘発した可能性を解明(New knowledge about Northern Europe’s radiator: Volcanic eruptions in the past may have pushed ocean current towards collapse)

2026-02-17 コペンハーゲン大学(UCPH)

コペンハーゲン大学の研究チーム(ニールス・ボーア研究所)は、氷期の大規模火山噴火が大西洋子午面循環(AMOC)を弱体化または崩壊に追い込み、数千年規模の急激な気候変動を引き起こした可能性を示した。氷床コアデータと多数の気候モデルを統合し、赤道付近の噴火が成層圏に硫黄や塵を放出して寒冷化を誘発し、海氷増加や塩分変化を通じてAMOCの“ポンプ”機能を停止させ得ると解明。氷期の急変動(ダンスガード・オシュガー事象)の要因説明にもつながる成果で、温暖化下で臨界点に近づく現代のAMOCの脆弱性評価に重要な示唆を与える。

氷期の火山噴火が大西洋海洋循環崩壊を誘発した可能性を解明(New knowledge about Northern Europe’s radiator: Volcanic eruptions in the past may have pushed ocean current towards collapse)
The new study points to volcanic eruptions as a cause for pushing the AMOC ocean current into a weakened or completely collapsed state. Photo: Getty

<関連情報>

氷河条件下での火山活動による大西洋南北循環の崩壊と回復 Volcanism-induced collapse and recovery of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation under glacial conditions

Guido Vettoretti, Ruei-Jia Hu, Ingo Bethke, Kirstin Krüger, […] , and Markus Jochum
Science Advances  Published:4 Feb 2026
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adx2124

Abstract

Volcanic eruptions have considerable impacts on climate across various timescales; however, it remains uncertain if, and how, volcanic activity could drive climate change over multiple millennia. Here we incorporate realistic volcanic forcing into a large ensemble of glacial era–coupled atmosphere-ocean model simulations. These simulations are constrained by sulfate records from ice cores, which help estimate the timing of past major eruptions. We investigate how volcanic eruptions may have occasionally triggered abrupt climate change during the last glacial period. Our results show that very large equatorial eruptions can induce large changes in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation via atmospheric and ocean circulation changes and air-sea buoyancy fluxes, potentially pushing the climate system between persistent warm and cold states lasting millennia. A simplified perspective of the dynamics shows how unforced natural climate variability may exert a stabilizing influence decades after an eruption, especially as the system nears a tipping point.

1702地球物理及び地球化学
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