2025-12-29 中国科学院（CAS）
2030年の国連持続可能な開発目標（SDGs）達成期限まで残り5年となる中、PNAS掲載の国際研究は、2015年以降の進捗が大きく二極化していると指摘した。産業・技術基盤など初期水準の高い目標は停滞や後退が目立つ一方、教育や安全など初期水準の低かった指標は着実に改善している。特に保健（SDG3）はワクチン接種率低下や感染症対策の後退が深刻で、技術進歩（SDG9）だけでは補えないと警告する。現状のままでは多くの国が2030年目標未達となる見通しで、国際協力と資金支援の強化が急務と結論づけている。
<関連情報>
- https://english.cas.cn/newsroom/research_news/earth/202512/t20251223_1138617.shtml
- https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2524299122
持続可能な開発目標に向けた国別の進捗状況：過去、現在、そして展望 Country-specific progress toward the Sustainable Development Goals: Past, present, and prospects
Qiang Xing https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0649-0904, Linlin Lu, Li Wang , +15 , and Chaoyang Wu cnAuthors Info & Affiliations
Edited by B. Turner II, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ;
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (PNAS)
December 26, 2025
doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2524299122
Significance
Tracking country-specific SDG progress is critical for accelerating efforts toward sustainable development, guiding the development of adequate policies. We conduct a comprehensive comparison of long-term indicators to show systematic progress differences across performance levels. Our results reveal that much progress has been made for low-scoring indicators in 2015; however, great challenges remain for high-scoring indicators. When the score was low and high, the pandemic impact was significantly greater than that for moderate scores. By 2030, the global score will reach approximately 63%. If targeted in 2030, countries need to achieve 4% in annual growth rate. Our long-term assessment emphasizes the need to reinforce international collaboration and funding and aid to accelerate implementation and serve as a foundation for future explanatory research.
Abstract
Two-thirds of the journey to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) has passed. However, insights into country-specific progress covering pre- and post-SDG and the prospects remain limited. Here, we compare the progress of 117 SDG indicators for 167 countries and project the achievements by 2030. Our results reveal the progress of the SDGs across the world varies depending on the initial SDG scores of the indicators in 2015. For indicators with low scores (0 to 50%), the proportion of countries showing advancement is greater than that demonstrating regression (25 vs. 16%). Countries that foster scientific research and promote manufacturing industry (SDG9) have the best performances. For indicators with high scores (70 to 90%), the proportion showing regression is greater than that with advancement (16 vs.10%). The increased coverage of immunization vaccines and prevention of infectious diseases (SDG3) have the worst performances. For indicators with moderate scores (50 to 70%), the proportion showing regression is slightly greater than that showing advancement (11 vs. 9%). When the score was low and high, the impact of the pandemic was significantly greater than that for moderate scores. By 2030, the global SDG score will reach approximately 63%, with a SD of 8%. Overall, 78 countries will reach the moderate score (60 to 70%), and 12 countries will remain with a low score (40 to 50%). Countries need to achieve an annual growth rate of 4% to meet the overall SDGs by 2030. Our comprehensive long-term assessment provides essential knowledge on global SDG progress, complementing UN reports.
