火星の50年周期のダストサイクルを「GoMarsモデル」でシミュレーション(Scientists Simulate 50-Year Martian Dust Cycle with GoMars Model)

2025-12-14 中国科学院(CAS)

火星は大量の砂塵に覆われた惑星で、その砂塵循環は大気力学や季節変動、全球規模のダストストームに強く支配されている。中国科学院大気物理研究所(IAP)の研究チームは、火星全球大気モデルGoMarsを用いて50年規模の火星砂塵循環シミュレーションを実施した。モデル結果は、火星気候データベース(MCD)や火星気候サウンダー(MCS)の観測と良く一致し、季節的・空間的な砂塵分布や全球ダストストームの不規則な発生を高精度で再現した。特に、ダストデビルによる砂塵巻き上げのピーク時刻や主要発生域を正確に捉えた点が注目される。本成果は将来の中国の火星探査計画における着陸・運用判断の基盤となる。

<関連情報>

GoMarsモデルによる完全インタラクティブな火星のダストサイクルシミュレーション The Fully Interactive Martian Dust Cycle Simulations by the GoMars Model

Shuai Liu,Li Dong,Xiangyu Xi,Xuan Cheng,Juanjuan Liu,Ye Pu,Yiyuan Li,Hongbo Liu,Mingyu Liu,Wei Xue,Junji Cao & Bin Wang
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences  Published:13 December 2025
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-025-5190-2

Abstract

The dust cycle is a crucial component of the present-day Martian climate system. This study examines its multi-timescale variability using an optimized 50-year simulation with the fully interactive scheme from the Global Open Planetary Atmospheric Model for Mars (GoMars), a newly developed Mars General Circulation Model (MGCM). GoMars is able to reproduce the diurnal, seasonal, and interannual characteristics of the dust cycle in several key aspects, with high repeatability in diurnal and seasonal variations during non-global dust storm (non-GDS) years. The model’s “climatology” (non-GDS years ensemble mean) captures the seasonal pattern and magnitude of the vertical–meridional dust distribution, validated against Mars Climate Database and Mars Climate Sounder observations. In the absence of direct observations, the GoMars-simulated near-surface wind stress lifting flux is evaluated through comparisons with other MGCMs (e.g., MarsWRF), revealing consistent seasonal and spatial patterns. As for the diurnal cycle, the peak dust devil lifting flux occurs at 1200–1300 local time, matching the Mars Pathfinder measurements. The model also successfully captures the intense dust devil activity in Amazonis, a region identified as a major dust devil hotspot based on observational data. In GDS years, GoMars effectively reproduces spontaneous GDSs, capturing their observed onset times, locations, and dust transport patterns as exhibited in specific Martian years. The model also simulates significant interannual variability, with irregular GDS intervals along with reasonable dust–atmosphere interactions.

1702地球物理及び地球化学
ad
ad
Follow
ad
タイトルとURLをコピーしました