気候変動が北米の魚類分布に及ぼす影響を予測(UBC Scientists Forecast Shifts in Fish Habitats Due to Climate Change)

2025-07-31 カナダ・ブリティッシュコロンビア大学(UBC)

ブリティッシュコロンビア大学の研究により、気候変動の影響で、各国の排他的経済水域(EEZ)を越えて分布する「越境型魚類資源」の半数以上が、2050年までに公海へ移動する可能性があることが判明。対象となるマグロ類やサメ類など高移動性魚種は、国際的な資源管理の困難化を招く。これにより沿岸国の漁業収益や資源利用の公平性が脅かされる懸念があり、国際協調と科学的モニタリング体制の強化が求められる。

<関連情報>

気候変動が世界の海洋における境界を越える魚の資源の移動を促進している Climate change drives shifts in straddling fish stocks in the world’s ocean

Juliano Palacios-Abrantes, Bianca S. Santos, Thomas L. Frölicher , Gabriel Reygondeau, […] , and William W. L. Cheung
Science Advances  Published:30 Jul 2025
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adq5976

気候変動が北米の魚類分布に及ぼす影響を予測(UBC Scientists Forecast Shifts in Fish Habitats Due to Climate Change)

Abstract

Climate-induced distribution changes are particularly challenging for fisheries targeting fish populations shared between exclusive economic zones (EEZs) and the high seas, known as straddling stocks. Here, we combine multiple datasets and ecosystem modeling to identify the presence of straddling stocks worldwide and consider the management implications of climate change–driven shifts. We identify 347 straddling stocks across 67 species, including both highly migratory and less mobile species. Our results suggest that regardless of the climate change scenario, at least 37% and 54% of stocks are projected to shift between EEZs and the high seas, by 2030 and 2050, respectively. More stocks are expected to shift toward the high seas, and highly migratory stocks are projected to shift across Regional Fisheries Management Organizations (RFMOs). Coastal states and RFMOs require to revise governance frameworks to support sustainable and equitable adaptation to shifting stocks. Developing such strategies requires cooperation between management bodies within EEZs and the high seas.

1401漁業及び増養殖
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